Global equity markets closed the year on a mixed and cautious note, as investors weighed cooling inflation, shifting interest-rate expectations and persistent geopolitical risks. Trading volumes were thin in many major financial centers, with several markets operating shortened sessions ahead of the New Year holidays.
U.S. stocks edged higher in subdued trade, with major indices hovering near recent highs. Investors continued to position for potential interest-rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the coming year, even as policymakers maintained a data-dependent stance.
Analysts noted that expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts have been partially priced into equities, leaving markets vulnerable to any upside surprises in inflation or growth data early in the new year.
European stock markets were broadly steady in light holiday trading, with many exchanges closing early. Benchmark indices in the euro zone and the United Kingdom moved in narrow ranges as investors assessed the outlook for the European Central Bank and the Bank of England.
Cooling inflation across several euro zone economies has strengthened the case for eventual rate reductions, but central bankers have signaled that policy will remain tight until there is clearer evidence that price pressures are firmly contained.
Asian equities ended the year on a softer tone, with sentiment weighed down by renewed worries over China’s economic momentum and property-sector strains. Regional currencies were also mixed against the U.S. dollar.
Mainland Chinese and Hong Kong stocks slipped as investors reacted to ongoing signs of weakness in the property market and cautious consumer spending. Concerns about deflationary pressures and uneven post-pandemic recovery continued to cap risk appetite.
Despite a series of easing measures earlier in the year, markets remained skeptical about the speed and durability of any rebound, keeping valuations under pressure compared with global peers.
Japanese stocks were mixed as traders balanced optimism over corporate reforms and earnings against uncertainty about the Bank of Japan’s path away from ultra-loose monetary policy. Any shift toward higher domestic yields could reshape global capital flows after years of easy Japanese liquidity.
Elsewhere in the region, markets in South Korea, Australia and Southeast Asia moved modestly, with technology exporters and commodity-linked shares reacting to global demand expectations and evolving interest-rate dynamics in the United States.
In foreign exchange and fixed-income markets, traders focused on the timing and magnitude of potential rate cuts from major central banks in the year ahead.
The U.S. dollar eased against a basket of major currencies as investors continued to price in a shift from aggressive tightening to gradual easing by the Federal Reserve. While the greenback remains supported by relatively higher U.S. yields, expectations of narrowing interest-rate differentials have limited further upside.
European currencies and some commodity-linked units made modest gains, though moves were constrained by low liquidity and year-end position adjustments.
Government bond yields in the United States and Europe were broadly steady after a rally in recent weeks driven by softer inflation data and growing conviction that policy rates have peaked.
Elsewhere in the region, markets in South Korea, Australia and Southeast Asia moved modestly, with technology exporters and commodity-linked shares reacting to global demand expectations and evolving interest-rate dynamics in the United States.
Elsewhere in the region, markets in South Korea, Australia and Southeast Asia moved modestly, with technology exporters and commodity-linked shares reacting to global demand expectations and evolving interest-rate dynamics in the United States.
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